Selected essays
Essays on strategy, decision-making, and the structures that shape how organizations reason under uncertainty. These are not trend pieces — they are reflections on the patterns I see in advisory work and the analytical disciplines that inform it.
Strategy
·
2026
When the environment changes faster than the frame, familiar strategies produce unfamiliar failures. On why the problem is rarely a lack of analysis.
Planning
·
2026
Most scenario exercises produce narrative without obligation. The difference between scenarios that change decisions and scenarios that confirm them.
AI and Judgement
·
2026
AI tools accelerate analysis but can normalize the wrong frames. On the distinction between fluency and evidence, and what gets lost when deliberation thins.
Decision Governnace
·
2026
Organizations rarely lack the signals that would have warned them. They lack the frame that would have made those signals legible as warnings.
Decision Architecture
·
2026
When organizations adopt platforms, vendors, or predecessors' frameworks without examination, they also adopt their assumptions. On the strategic risk of opaque inherited reasoning.
AI and Organizations
·
2025
The most consequential effects of AI adoption are not measured in efficiency. They are measured in how judgment changes when deliberation is compressed and fluency is mistaken for rigor.